Gartner Predicts a "Revival" of the Global PC Market in 2014

Paul Lilly

Business upgrades from Windows XP will help prop up the PC market

Sometimes down but never out, traditional PCs have been doing more than just hanging around, they've been leading the market despite slumping sales. Looking into next year, Gartner predicts that tablets will outsell combined desktop and notebook systems for the first time, though if you look at the market as a whole, the worldwide PC market is on the verge of a revival after dipping 9.5 percent in 2013 .

There's a lot to digest here so let's start with the global PC market. Gartner predicts that combined shipments of PCs, tablets, ultramobiles, and mobile phones will reach 2.4 billion units in 2014, a 4.2 percent jump from 2013. Meanwhile, the market research firm believes that combined shipments of desktops, notebooks, and premium ultramobiles will dip just 2.9 percent in 2014, representing a "relative revival" over the 9.5 percent decline a year ago.

"Business upgrades from Windows XP and the general business replacement cycle will lessen the downward trend, especially in Western Europe," said Ranjit Atwal , research director at Gartner. "This year, we anticipate nearly 60 million professional PC replacements in mature markets."

If we break these systems down by category, desktops and laptops are on pace to ship 276.2 million units in 2014 and 261.6 million unitls in 2015. Tablets, meanwhile, are on pace to leapfrom traditional PC sales with 320.9 million shipments next year.

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