Shadows Lengthening Over Broadcast TV: Analyst (Spoiler: Piracy is to Blame)
Shadows Lengthening Over Broadcast TV: Analyst (Spoiler: Piracy is to Blame)
Posted 07/08/2008 at 7:04am
| by Pulkit Chandna
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All analysts worth their salt are bound to have strong apocalyptic visions at some point in their career, and so, should make perfect muses for heavy metal artists that cry hoarse about doomsday scenarios.Lehman Brothers’ analyst Anthony DiClemente has warned that broadcast TV might soon bow out of our living rooms.
He blamed digital distribution and rampant file-sharing for broadcast TV’s woes. He has a point as digital distribution hasn’t even fully taken off and the Youtubes and iTunes might just be the precursor of bigger things to come, and digitally distributed content will hold sway be it game consoles or TVs.
However, broadcast TV is not going anywhere in large parts of the world that still don’t have a high broadband penetration rate. We have all been told how a certain technology or gadget is headed for its grave only for it to survive; even the radio has managed to survived till now. Tell the whole world what you think about broadcast TV’s fate in the comments section.
Image Credit: Dabbledoo
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StormEffect
July 08, 2008 at 2:10pm
I think what will change is how television subscriptions work. We are moving away from getting our media at predetermined times and on predetermined mediums. TiVo has done away with much of that nonsense. At some point, we'll subscribe to just the networks, and be given access to the entire library of media that network contains. Nonetheless, the old fashioned "throw in all the channels" cable subscription will never go away. In some way, people want to have certain shows or programs scheduled by someone other than themselves, it gives them media structure.
I mean, if The Price is Right was on demand instead of aired, what would Grandma do every morning? Wait for the feed to go live and then tap in? On second thought, that sounds like a good idea for the media companies, have people clammering to activate a live feed.
yagisencho
July 08, 2008 at 10:01am
In an average month, I might watch 2-3 hours of live television. My daily average is 30 minutes of DVR'd content and an hour of Netflix rentals. Everything else I watch on YouTube or from our DVD collection. Piracy doesn't even enter the picture.
hogkill
July 08, 2008 at 8:32am
The only time you'll catch me sitting in front of the boobtube is if Dexter is on, or I dont have access to a computer. That being the case, almost everyone I know still watches TV regularily so I think Anthony is just spewing crazy talk. Like I've said before, there will always be people who want hard copies of things they purchase so I don't think distribution of non-digital mediums will even disapear over the next few hundred years let alone the next few years.
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