Mobile Web Usage to Surpass Wired by 2015, Says IDC
Mobile Web Usage to Surpass Wired by 2015, Says IDC
Posted 09/12/2011 at 3:11pm
| by Ryan Whitwam
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Just four short years. That’s how long IDC says it’s going to take for mobile internet usage to surpass wired use. They base these estimates on the explosion in sales of smartphones and tablets, as well as the new innovation in mobile networks. IDC also suggests that by 2015, web access on PCs is going to begin declining.
This change is expected to come with the inclusion of hundreds of millions of new internet users all over the world. For these people, the mobile web will be the only web they have ever known. "Forget what we have taken for granted on how consumers use the Internet," IDC research vice president Karsten Weide said in a statement. "Soon, more users will access the Web using mobile devices than using PCs, and it's going to make the Internet a very different place."
Smartphones are expected to surpass feature phones, enabling a full mobile web experience. This, along with the continued growth of tablets, will lead to the stagnation of the PC market, IDC reports. This change is expected to occur first in Western Europe, Japan, and the US. What do you think the future of web access looks like?
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Biceps
September 13, 2011 at 10:58am
I'm going to go ahead and call major, huge, totally drooling-stupid unrealistic bullshit on this one. An arrow on a graph today does not a future reality make. Even so-called unlimited mobile data plans are capped at 5 GB, as mentioned by dougau. Total available wireless bandwidth is very much constrained by the airwaves/frequencies that are open, and we aren't going to see much growth there in the next 4 years, unless I've missed something. IDC, feel free to chime in here and let me know if I have.
Considering that most people are starting to use a good portion of their wired data caps that sit somewhere around 100 GB to 250GB, the geniuses over at IDC seem to be missing the mark pretty drastically. Another "it's the end of the PC!!!" claim, and holds about as much water as the others. Phht.
bling581
September 13, 2011 at 10:20am
Because browsing the web on a tiny screen with no real keyboard is so much better! (/end sarcasm)
It's hard to believe that someone would have a mobile device with internet but no wired connection at home.
KOMMANDER
September 12, 2011 at 6:57pm
There are so many of us out there that have no access to highspeed that wireless is the way to go. 6 yrs ago I had to give up multiplayer gaming because dialup was the only thing available and sat systems were to laggie although I still went with a Sat system just to be able brouse and do e-mail with any speed to speak of. I now use a wireless setup to access the internet while trucking and at home I hook my main system up to game online. Soon the Sat system is gonna go and my wife will be wireless at a cost thats $30 less than I pay now for the wireless and Sat. So yep I think the article is right till some other technology takes it's place for those in the boonies.
dougau
September 12, 2011 at 3:17pm
mobile internet usage will surpass wired use with 2 and 5 GB caps? Really? This isn't April 1st and nobody told me is it?
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