Microsoft Not Going to Hell in a "Truck" After All



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Any technology that's sufficiently embedded in a society doesn't change overnight.

But Apple has made some dramatic re-inventions of music players and smartphones. Took over one industry in less than 10 years, and is well en route to doing the same with phones, more like a 5-year timeframe.

Thanks to Moore's Law, the PC of today will not be used in ten years. PC technology already shows up in phones (did we forget that iOS is a sibling of OSX?), tablets (ditto) and game players (using a chip that Apple used to feature), etc. The current configuration is great for many tasks now, but more CPU power means more interactive, maybe 3D visualization (remember all the apologists who said 80X25 was better than GUI?), voice commands, take-your-connectivity-with-you always modalities.

I'm not surprised that Microsoft hasn't yet gone out of business. What I AM surprised about, is how casually they are treating their utter loss of the discussion about phones, consumer products, cloud services that are economical enough to be implemented flexibly and quickly, ... you know, everything that's happening these days outside of the server closet. 



Steve: it's a non-issue, you are reading the statistic wrong.



PCs are just a fad. People need what I tell them they need.


I Jedi

What is most interesting to me is that Microsoft itself still controls relatively 90% of the PC market, whilst Apple has only managed to gain a meager 5.5% of the market. In fact, this statement about PC's days being numbered comes from the same man who touted that the tablet was going to replace the desktop computer altogether. My point is that I believe Steve Jobs is either a delusional man, or he is merely trying to boost sales of his own products, but I still prefer to believe in both statements. :} At either rate, the only thing Apple truly has going for itself is the iPhone: controlling around 50% of the mobile market; however, it will be interesting to see how far their tablet takes them, but we will have to wait to see the long-term affect this will have on Apple's success in the future

The Windows OS will likely never be phased out in the near to long-term future, as Windows is the most friendly-user, familiar environment for the average PC user. Not to mention the heavy development by other PC vendors for the platform itself. I think anyone who states that Microsoft is f*cked is delusional or a fool. Admittedly, Microsoft had huge problems a few years ago with Windows Vista, but they seem to have come out of this dark period, as shown with Windows 7. We have seen Microsoft change time and time again to meet the challenges that it has faced. Every time they get knocked down, they do their best to get right back on that horse, and find new, innovative ways in which to succeede. Again, to say that Microsoft future looks bleak is saying that Android is simply a pop. culture phase, that will soon go away with time.



My web connection is funky



Out of all the "Pocket Computer" platforms that came out before the previous decade (e.g the 90's):

RIM added touchscreen support to their platform only recently. Palm made a radical move that is the equivalent Microsoft making a completely different OS that is incompatible with everything they made before.

And Microsoft is basically making a hand-held platform that can't run its existing library of software. BUT: it is based on AXML and .Net, which makes a good deal of modern windows mobile software straightforward to port. I sure hope they wind up with a market-share comparable to Nokia or RIM.

You can have your recession. I'm not participating.



Doesn't the "groundbreaking" iPad need a PC or Mac to get music, videos, photos, and everything else that isn't available from the app store using iTunes? so much for not needing a PC... 



Fuck Steve Jobs.


I Jedi

Careful, lad, I got banned not too long ago here for speaking out against Jobs.



I sure wouldn't...



It's an interesting one for sure. I understand Apple's point that PCs will likely become less prominent in consumer areas - I'm not saying it's right, I'm just saying it's an understandable viewpoint. App specific devices open up the areas of email/web/media to people who have typically struggled with the more general purpose PC. My 10 year old can get herself wrapped up in knots on my PC (or my Macbook for that matter) whereas I hand her the iPad and she's fine for ages.

 I as with all these stories a mid ground of the two approaches will turn out to be the eventual outcome. More capable users will want the flexibility offered by having a general purpose platform, whereas users who are interested in specific purposes will end up using focussed devices.

Forgetting costs for the minute, a device designed specifically to fill one particular need tends ot be easier to use than one general purpose tool that has 1000s of possibilities?

Interesting times. 

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