DRAM Makers Fear Another Crisis if Demand Stays Weak
DRAM makers have been through some tough times in recent years. That's true for nearly the entire tech industry, but the DRAM market in particular was hit hard by the global recession and reduced spending. An oversupply of chips and continued weak demand forced some DRAM makers to be on the brink of collapse, while others sought a government bailout. One firm asked workers to take unpaid leaves to keep from going out of business. At one point, A-Data chairman Simon Chen declared that the DRAM market was the worst it has been for 15 years.
That all happened back in 2008 and through most of 2009. Here we are approaching 2011 and while the situation is improved, there's a lingering fear that the DRAM market could collapse all over again. Scott Chen, vice president of Kingston, believes that DRAM makers could go through another crisis like the one above if demand doesn't pick up in the next 3-4 quarters.
Part of the problem is that DRAM makers can't seem to catch a break. Weaker than expected demand from the Chinese market is taking its toll, and prior to that, it was the European bond crisis. Going forward, analysts predict slow sales in the fourth quarter in China, which has traditionally been the high season.
DRAM makers will have to figure out a way to cope with yet another period of dormant sales. Kingston's strategy is to avoid any kind of capacity expansion, even if orders for DRAM modules and NAND flash products continue to grow. Should that happen, Kingston will look at outsourcing.

Image Credit: Samsung via pclaunches.com
Comments
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richeemxx
September 15, 2010 at 12:37pm
Back when we saw record low levels, I'm talking 2GB kits of DDR2 for under $10, it was because prior to Vista coming out almost everyone was running under 2gbs of ram. The DRAM manuf over produced modules figuring everyone would jump on-board with Vista and upgrade so they figured they'd see a mass influx in demand. Well that flopped and they couldn't sell the ram fast enough. Now DDR3 is taking a hit because not only does the economy sucks but everyone that had upgraded over the past couple years has a computer that is faster than they ever needed and they have begun to realize they don't need the latest greatest PC out there. (talking everyday consumers not us geeks)
Add to all that that a few years ago you had a few companies selling ram at a few differnt speeds. You might see a new faster speed or something with better timings coming out every couple months. Now you see a ton of companies all throwing out as many products as quickly as they can. They've over staturated the market so much so that the avg consumer can't tell heads from tales when they shop. Looking at newegg you have over 200 choices of 4gb DDR3 kits alone add an aditional 200kits for everything over 4gbs and you see what I mean.
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reallyscrued
September 15, 2010 at 7:21am
No sympathy, about as sad if I were to hear that OPEC was in trouble.
Does this mean DDR2 prices will come back down to reasonable levels?
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Peanut Fox
September 15, 2010 at 1:39pm
DDR2 prices will likely remain high as it's being phased out.
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M-ManLA
September 15, 2010 at 12:07pm
It is as simple as that. DDR2 Kits use to be around $40, and DDR3 Triple Channel Kits was under $100. Lower the prices and I will buy a couple. It is really their own fault. You can't rais prices by !50% and expect people to buy them.
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SininStyle
September 17, 2010 at 7:44am
+1 for the above
Ive been on the market for a triple kit for a yr now. Ive watched triple kits go from $100 to $170. They are now getting back down to $120 ranges for the less then ideal timings but its something. There have also been some nice deals out with MIRs bringing the cost down making it tempting. I am just waiting for "that kit" to appear at the right price. Im sure I am not the only one ont he fence just waiting for a price.
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