Dell: PCs have Nothing to Fear from Mobile Devices



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Mighty BOB!

Until these smart phones (or equivalent future mobile devices) actually have the horsepower of a desktop, and the robust input devices* they will never replace "the box."


*Since people aren't going to carry around a keyboard, a mouse, and a large LCD screen there needs to be two breakthroughs (assuming that there is also a breakthrough in mobile horsepower and battery technology) before mobile devices could conceivably replace "the box" and all of the many things you can do with "the box" (because we all know that smartphone-sized mobile devices can't even come close right now):

One is in displays, so these mobile devices will either need some kind of projector so you can project a large screen on the wall (ooh, or holographically in the air :P ), or alternately perhaps a pair of glasses/contacts that beams the images onto your retinas so it looks like a large image. 

The other is input, because typing with your thumbs on a tiny keyboard will never work for productivity or writing an essay (unless you like bleeding thumbs and slower productivity).  So either projecting a keyboard onto a desk surface (ooh, or holographic again :P ), and some kind of Minority Report hand gesture system to replace the mouse (or eye-tracking).

Or perhaps a mental interface device could replace both keyboard and mouse.  But there's no way all of that is happening in only 20 or 30 years.



I love how the story is about Dell, but the picture shows a Gateway computer. hahahaha



What? Of course something will replace the PC as a multi-function computer eventually! That's like a press release from Johnson Typewriter Company in 1942 saying the typewriter won't be replaced by something else.

Anybody who thinks we're going to be using a device that even vaguely resembles a PC 20 or 30 years from now has a screw loose.



The typewriter isn't multifunction and the desktop computer as we know it isn't an evolution of the typewriter as much as a device that adapted its functionality - and these days, so did many things with a QWERTY.

I don't see why people are in such a hurry to get rid of "the box." It's already been decades and we still have "the box." It's become prettier and more powerful, but it's still essentially "the box" that it's always been. (not including all-in-ones)

I'm really not sure what kind of change we're going to have until we stop using molexes and the same basic chipset configurations. The most visible changes to the PC in 10 years seem to be standards compliance among OEMs and the sizes of some components. Other than that, PSU is still usually on top, cards face horizontally out the back, the card slots are in the same place, RAM is vertical on the right (facing the board), drives are stored in the front end (opticals on top, hard drives on the bottom, floppy/card readers in the middle), etc. etc.

Of course, now that I've said this: instant consumer quantum computing! The power for 50 i7s in a box of crayons!



I agree with Dell. It's hard to envision smartphones replacing PC's. How would you type short papers, make Powerpoints, edit photos, etc. The screen is just simply too small for these tasks. Even netbooks aren't replacing laptops according to a recent finding. Smartphones are companions at best.


Michael Ellis

This boils down to a simple concept.It is easier to pack more power into a bigger space. Until that changes, pc's will always be around in some form because they will always be more powerful.



ps The printer replaced the typewriter because it was superior in every way, just about, but the smartphone still has a LONG way to go before it even comes close.

HP Pavilion Elite e9280t  AW020AV-ABA

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