Analyst: Tablet Sales Will Leave PC Sales in the Dust by 2015

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bling581

Blah blah blah. Just more crap articles to help marketing. I don't disagree that they becoming popular, but I don't think they're going to be a mainstream thing. I know people that bought one and now they hardly use it. It was a cool thing to get. Or better yet, people that buy one and find out there's things they want to do that cannot be done on a tablet. I'd like a tablet myself, but I already have a smart phone and an ultra fast PC so I don't have the spare change for something "cool".

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tekknyne

Supply-side economics at its finest. Manufacturers are loving these things because people are going to be buying them in droves only to put them down three weeks later to collect dust. The problem is that they're finally starting to get past the status of gimmick, but they're totally a gimmick. We just bought a few Ipad 2's at work because my manager thinks people are actually going to use them. They've been sitting on my desk for 2 weeks.

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Phrish

"Analyst: Tablet Sales Will Leave PC Sales in the Dust by 2015"

And the death of PC gaming is at hand... right?

Sensationalist drivel...

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bling581

It wasn't too long ago that "PC gaming is dead" was a common topic, but look how that went. In fact, now I'm seeing articles about how well PC gaming is doing. Huh? Talk about the media jumping on the rhetoric bandwagon.

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daniel3839

They are gadgets for looking at email or reading the latest news and reviews on the web. Nothing more. Try and work all day on documents, email and other apps simultaneously as 9 out of 10 workers do every day at work and at home, good luck with that using that cool "GADGET" (tablet).

The only way its going to be even REMOTELY as workable as a workstation is if they go to a 12" screen, docking station with a full size mouse and keyboard.

They are real nifty for email and internet browsing. That's about it, and for $600.00+ dollars its outrageously over rated.

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Wingzero_x

So what type of tablet do you have? In what way did your tablet fail you? Oh, you don't have one, so exactly what are you basing your "facts" on? I hate to break it to you but what you say can't be done, I'm doing. I email, work on office docs, draw, remotely access computer which allows me to do everything from working in Photoshop, to repair PC errors.

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tekknyne

"Repair PC errors" - that's conveniently vague. So you dispute his argument by saying that essentially everything he claims is correct (email docs) plus you add remote desktop and that's your compelling argument? Butthurt much? Remote desktop is nothing new friend.

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RtDK

I keep hearing the exact same thing over and over again, and I've seen a lot of falling-out-of-love with tablets in response. Tablets were nifty when they were the new cool thing, but lately, there hasn't been the same amount of excitement over them that there used to be.

Maybe, perhaps, tablets as a form factor are here to stay, but I don't see them supplanting PCs. Not by a long shot. Sorry. Maybe they'll cannibalize some of their sales, sure, but if a person needs a computer--guess what?--they're going to buy a computer.

If Windows 8 is a big enough success, you could potentially see a merging of the two in some form or another down the road, but tablets, just by their form factor, are far more limited in what they're "useful" for in comparison with say, an ultrabook. If you need to type a document, for instance, you're going to use something with a keyboard. Tablets are useful for quick jotting of notes or references, and that's about the extent of the utility I see from them.

Not saying that tablets don't have a place, mind you--but I am saying that it's far more limited in scope than what people are making it out to be.

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tekknyne

A friend of mine was trying to convince me how awesome his Ipad was and his main argument was "have you tried flipbook? you'll love it- never put it down". I researched it and flipbook is this app that ties into twitter, forums and FB and gives you like a magazine layout of all that stuff..... cant say i'm sold.

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Wingzero_x

Just about anything I have ever done with my laptop, I've been able to do with my iPad in one way or another, and in many cases even far easier. However I do have to agree to an extent, most people will never delve that far into as I have, and for most a tablet is nothing more than portal to email, Facebook, and Twitter. But then again that's about the extent that most people use their PCs anyway. And let's face one important fact here. Tablets will go down in price.

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daniel3839

RtDK is exactly right

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avatar

Wingzero_x

Its surprising the narrow mindedness some people seem to suffer from. Especially in light of the history of computing. I mean do some of you realize those limitations you are saying about tablets were once said about the PC? I remember back in the 80's when the naysayers said Computers would never make it into the home, because really there was nothing the average person had use for, and would ultimately become the pet rock of the 80s. I remember when people said 100MHz processors were going to be fastest we'd ever get because anymore and you'll need a heatsink the size of a volkswagon. I remember days before the internet when if you wanted to share something, you saved it to a floppy disk and walked it to whomever hence the term Sneaker Net. And speaking of disks, how many remember the 8" floppies? The 5 1/4", Cassette tapes? The day Commodore coined the term Giga? Who thought they were king Sh@t of F^{k mountain because they had a humongous 4GB HDD?

Some of you say you see people use their tablets and the do nothing with them, and to that I ask how many people do you know that have computers that do nothing with them? Probably about half of the people I know could still use one of those 100MHz PCs because all they do is Facebook, Email, and Tweet...

Already using the primitive apps on my iPad I can remotely access computers make repairs, install software etc. I was even able to get a very choppy game of Dawn of War going. I've watched (Flash) videos remotely, emailed files, adjusted my cloud storage. All by using my finger.

That being said I believe what is ultimately going to happen is the home server will supplant the PC. Tablets will start to become the monitors, keyboards, and mice. The whole way we interact with our systems will change.

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JohnP

Uhh, did you TYPE all this on your tablet built in keyboard? Did the READ this web page and all of the comments on your tablet? Just curious...

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Wingzero_x

Yes, I did actually, (but note I really don't type anyway, and I can see how that could be an issue for a lot of people that do. Though personally I don't see how people type with those chiclet keyboards either.)

Not only do I visit this site, but others as well. I've even visited porn websites on it just because somebody on these forums said it wasn't possible. Now there is the whole Flash thing, but you know what I really don't miss it. Well other than South Park.com.

But truthfully I was a bit apprendive at first and had doubts, especially about the iPad and that is why I actually bought an Acer Iconia first. The Acer was really nice, but one of the glooming problems with Android prevented it from winning me over. (The problem was the Netflix app wasn't authorized for the device). Returned it got the iPad 32 GB every worked, though just about every app you have to pay for. (There are always good sales though)

Another issue I was concerned about was storage seriously 64GB being the biggest option? What is this 2004? But yet I found 32GB to be just fine. I use an app called Good Reader to import/export docs and media that iTunes may reject, or just doesn't support. (I ripped a few DVDs that I tunes rejected saying they weren't compatible with the device, imported them with Good Reader and they play fine.)

If you travel, its definately better than carrying the laptop. Even if you still want the laptop, tucking the tablet in the case and using it casually sure beats breaking out the M17 just to watch a movie on the plane..

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maxeeemum

I would like to know also. Just curious! Not a hater just realistic! I like playing with iPads at Best Buy. But not enough to buy one! Maybe in the future!

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kixofmyg0t

Umm I do....what's wrong with that? I haven't visited Maximumpc.com on anything OTHER than my tablet in almost a year.....

Having 20Mbps 4G LTE equipped Xoom with over 9 hours of continuous battery life rocks. You're just a hater.

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kixofmyg0t

I was gonna buy a new(Trinity based) laptop.....but I hardly ever use my laptops anymore. My Xoom has taken over the vast majority of my computing needs.

I have no real use for PC's now other than Photoshop or transcoding a video......to watch on my Xoom. In fact I just moved into a new house a couple weeks ago and still have yet to unpack any of my PC's. They're just not needed anymore honestly.

Waiting for Heart of the Swarm so I can fire up my rig that's been collecting dust since I built it. :/

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Wingzero_x

I actually think I access my computer more on my iPad than I do the normal way.

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icebox1701

And toothpicks outsell toothbrushes 1000 to 1... Common. Both go in your mouth but they serve different purposes. It's about the same.

Most buy or bought them because it's the New Thing(tm) They just got a smartphone (don't ask why, they don't know) and it's time to feel cool and in sync with the modern times again.

Yes there are use cases for tablets, but most people seem to use them for facebook on couches. Very few people actually use them for what they are: a subset of a netbook trading usability for lightness and battery time.

avatar

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Penterax

I really don't understand why people like to make the tablet and desktop PC an "either/or" thing. The fact is, most of the people that buy a tablet already have a PC (or Mac) and aren't buying it to replace the PC.

Here's a prediction from me: The tablet will start actually decreasing in sales before 2015, except for specialized uses like the eReader, which will increase, once people figure out that tablets aren't really giving them anything better than a netbook or ultrabook - in fact are giving them quite a bit less. The tablet will live on, but more in its effect on other devices than as the original tablet. Ultrabooks, netbooks, and notebooks will come with higher resolution screens and touch capability.

;)

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Dartht33bagger

Tablets have to be one of the most useless computing devices ever created in my opinion.

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axiomatic

Too early to claim this. Marketing spin for sure. The PC has had legs for so many years it's silly to question its lasting power.

To BI Intelligence... I hope this puts you on the map though. Making that "big guess" as a market analyst might net you a win.... it also might make you look like an ass when this doesn't pan out.

Good luck.

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Ghok

Tablets and PCs are good at different things. It doesn't really matter to me which is more popular. I don't really give a damn if my kettle is more popular than my toaster.

Though if I could only have one, I'd take a PC in a heartbeat.

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maxeeemum

The PC is dead is just a marketing tool so they can influence the newest gadget crowd. Tablets are the new netbook that's all. I've been hearing all the hype on iPads and other tablets but have yet to see anybody using one in public. They appear to be something to surf the web while watching TV.

What I do see is more and more smart phone use. In fact it is a problem at work. Some people have been told to stop using them. I think they may be banned where I work.

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Scatter

Tablets will always be held back by the fact that they'll never have a real keyboard or mouse support. I love them for their portability and convenience but I hate them whenever I want to actually type anything longer than a Facebook update or a quick email. And gaming will always be held back until they find a way to resolve control problems.

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unsunghero225

Nahh..... Tablets are cool for the time being, but everyone who owns one, also owns a computer or laptop. When people want real computing power, or they're at work, or gaming or whatever it may be, a tablet just cant keep up.

Thats not to say that tablets cant do some of that to an extent... I simply think they are limited in how much we can actually get out of it.

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JohnP

How soon will the market for tablets be saturated? It's not like folks need to have 3-4 different tablets...

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Scatter

Meh, tablets may sell more in a single year soon but it doesn't mean that there's more tablets in households then there are PCs. People are purchasing tablets because they're a fad and they don't have one yet. Almost everyone already has a PC.

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Shalbatana

Call me a nay-sayer, but I honestly think tablets are a fad. They are all over now and everyone wants one, and everyone wants to have one, but for every 5 people I know who has one, perhaps 2 still use it religiously.

I think they will grow for a while. Then, when people have had their mitts on them for a while, they'll fade a good deal in popularity. They'll become niche or limited use products for most people, that they use in addition to their laptop, or desktop.

But really, until you can interface it with a tricorder and use it to free your shuttlepod mate from the clutches of a water-guarding desert security system, they'll just be side products.

As convenient and tote-able as they are in some circumstances, they're just too clumsy and inconvenient in most circumstances.

Oh and PS: ereaders should be a class of their own, as calculators are to computers. And one of the reasons pc sales won't be as big as tablet sales, is obbious.... everyone already HAS a PC (man I should have been an analyst. Get paid to sit around and state the obvious)

(okay let the bashing begin)

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JohnP

Heh, no bashing, pretty much what I was going to say. My use of the Kindle Fire has dropped off a lot even though I have it only a month. Tablets have a lot in common with netbooks, both trying to do a man sized job with a dog's brain. Also, how many tablets can folks use? There is going to quickly be a saturation point.
I will go one further. Apps are also going to quickly start to fade out. Apps are quick and dirty substitutes for real programs and are fleeting in the attention they are given.
YES! E-readers are as much a niche product as calculators, GPS devices, and cameras. A tablet or smartphone can do these jobs but only half as well and with some fiddling.

As for PCs, nothing better to play games on, period. No cause to declare the PC dead, we will just keep upgrading.

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