12 Technologies On The Brink of Disappearing

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Trooper_One

The PC dying?  Maybe, but until they can find something where it is as power and where I have full control/interaction, that'll never happen.  They keep saying the consoles killed PC gaming - for me, there's still plenty of [good] games out there for the PC.  Don't even start with the kb&m combo.

The combustion engine going bye bye?  I doubt it - we depend too much on the combustible engine.  Sure, the new Leaf is nice but how many people can actually afford it?  Futhermore, not many people living in 'traditional' apartments or condos have 'fill up' stations (that's probably 99.9% of these buildings out there).  So filling up is a major roadblock for the hydro-electric vehicles.

POTS, even though I cut mine off years ago, won't go away for sure.  The chatty mouths like my g/f will always stick to a landline as currently in Canada, there's no good plans for unlimited coming from the big telco's.  Voip is just too complicated for some to set up (or plain distrust thereof).  Besides, none of these will work when the power goes out - POTS with a basic phone to the rescue.

Hard drives - unless solid state can down to the levels of HD at that capacity, I'm sticking with these HD's.  I mean, how can you beat 1TB for $40?

Keys - there's too many of them out there to disappear.  Too many items still needs them.  Disappear?  Not a chance.

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Ceadderman

I agree.

Let's face it, I'll probably be long dead and gone by time something comes around that can do the same things a PC can for the money I spend to do it.

Personal media players will be around as well as the media that I can hold in my grubby mitt. The reason being is that I can buy the media and can use that same media on everything I own. CDs' will eventually die out but everything is and has been moving to DVD because there is more usable space per disc.

New game? Disc. Nobody is going to go to a flashdrive system in the near future because DVDs' get cheaper and cheaper to mass produce. Though I feel that software would get cheaper to produce if they did come on a personal flashdrive because there would be less packaging involved allowing the manufacturer to manufacture a store display that shows the cover art and the reviews etc that holds a month's worth of media like FarCry or BadCompany types of games or Operating Sytems or other PC based media. But that won't be for another decade imho.

The combustion engine will be around for a long time because Electric Cars rely on dirty manufacturing processes. Same with hybrid technology. The simple fact is that it would cost me more to buy parts(through the dealer) for a Green car than it does for a "dirty" gas guzzler. Hydrogen? Fuggeddaboudit. While it burns cleaner the manufacturing process is nowhere near green. The best thing to do right now is push the car companies in the direction of longer and longer MPG averages. We have the technology right now to go 30 40 or even 50 miles to the gallon. But nobody is thinking about this because "we have to get off this dependance to oil". Gasoline is an energy technology yet it's not regulated in the same manner Electricity and Natural Gas is. Even though it's more necessary. I can build a wind farm to create my own power so I can get off the grid. But I cannot refine oil to create Gas or it's byproduct Diesel. Sure you can make your own BioDiesel but the cost of that isn't as clear for everyone. If Gas were regulated(speculators) the prices would be more stable. Also if there is an issue with a refinery the GCs' couldn't stick it to the little guy. Prices would not be allowed to triple during the summer months either. We have the technology to make Gasoline green but not the will to standup to the scheisters' running the whole operation. Thought Obama was going to stick it to BP for the Gulf incident.

And HardDrives are going nowhere anytime soon. Not when they keep getting bigger(currently @ 3TB) and bigger. SSDs' are great but even the cost isn't going to drive HDD out of business. I can get a reasonable sized SSD and run my OS and a few games on it and then use a HDD to backup and store my information. So not even speed will kill HDD. And forget Cloud. My information is my information and I will not be goaded into sharing it with friends and family. My netbook came with a free 10GB online storage feature to boost my storage to 160GB. Won't use it. Haven't once used it in the nearly 2 years since I bought it. I don't even back it up to my storage array because there isn't anything that I cannot replace on it. I use it for school and the files I need go to my thumbdrive to make hardcopy to submit to my Instructors. So you can see how often I'll be using Cloud. lol

3D was dead in the 50s'. Micheal Jackson and Disneyland tried to bring it back and same with a few forgettable movies(Spykids 3D) as well. But the 2D tech isn't going to go away any easier than Combustion technology has.

 

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SirDrexl

They'll pry my keyboard and mouse from my cold, dead hands.  A touchscreen doesn't give you the kind of tactile feedback that a real keyboard does, so it's not very usable if you're not looking directly at it.  A mouse is much more precise than a touchpad, and the ability to use multiple buttons and a scroll wheel while moving it is a big plus.

I'll be disappointed to see dedicated gaming devices go.  I think a touchscreen sucks for any kind of action game, yet many people are okay with it.  So, I don't see them adding real gaming controls when it gets to the point where the only way to play handheld games is on a cellphone.  I guess I'll stick to card and mahjong games that actually work well with a touchscreen.

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Spencer Taylor

The same people who pushed building a ridiculously expensive, 3D capable, HTPC just recently are now putting "home-based 3D w/ glasses" on the Endangered List? What, did Gordon wake up and get smacked by reality?

Death of the Optical Disk? I don't think so - especially Blu-ray - at least not for 10 years, considering the US government's latest study, e.g. from 2009, shows that only 5 percent of US Homes have broadband access to the Internet at speeds over 3Mbps.

It's bs like this that is exactly why I think Maximum PC should also be on this "Endangered List".

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Larzs13

MMMM

A.

Yes CD's might go away yes but there is a missing sound wave with digital music VS CD more so in my Truck than any where else and as a audiophile those missing wavelengths matter to the music. And until that is fixed and I can have them in my Truck or car sounding out 115+db of pure sound I will change over but till then not so much so. And yes Keenwood has tried to bring a HD to car audio it did not do well just so you know I've been doing this for a number of yrs. And so more random facts the Vinyl Records have increased in sales this bast QTR. and CD  have gone down in sales whom would have thought that. And there is certin things sound good thru vinyl Pink Floyd and a bunch of other sound great too its just an orgional medium it was done in. IMO  

B.

And a metal key can not be hacked so there for if you want to get into my house you got come thru the old school way but then you just need to worry how your going to leave in between my 20gage/buck shot and you hope your lucky.

 

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Jox

"Landlines – at least corded landline phones – are a saving grace during prolonged power outages."

This is only true of the old, rotary phones.  Newer phones (i.e. the one pictured) require an AC adapter and thus will not work during a power failure.  Only Grandma's phone will work during a blackout.

-Jox

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The bigTchaikovsky

Same here, it worked just fine when the bsnow knocked out my power couple weeks back. And the one pictured is a cordless phone, bro.

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fuzz_64

Not true.. many cordered phones need a power adapter to use all the cool features on them but most will still work for plain ol' dialing during a blackout.  I used one just last week when the power was out :)

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jedisamurai

A couple of flaws in logic:

1. E-ink is the reason why the kindle is so popular. For permanent book replacement e-ink is neccessary to prevent eye-strain. Other display technologies are just nowhere near good enough.

2. The reason why gas powered cars are still around is that big-oil has been fighting tooth and nail to keep it that way. They are inferior in every way conceptually to electric powered vehicles. If the world were to go all-electric vehicle, they would be far faster, cheaper, more efficient, more powerful, and less polluting than anything gas powered. They simply have not been developed to the same point. If the world transitions to electric people of the future will laugh at gas-powered vehicles.

3. Familiarity and resistance to change are the reasons why the desktop has not died out along with the keyboard and mouse. When the video games were invented they were too complicated and no one could figure out how to use them because they simply were not familiar with using buttons to control a video display. Thus pong was born which used something familiar (a knob). In other words, the evolution of interfaces is always slow because people are just too stupid en mass to adapt to better things. Familiarity is the enemy of innovation. 

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Ceadderman

I take it you're not familiar with "Top Gear"?

Watch a few seasons of that and you will no longer be banging the big oil drum as the reason the combustion engine is King. lol

Do they contribute to the general election campaign funds? Yes. On every side of the isle. But they're doing so to protect their interests just as I suspect you would do if you were the Owner/CEO of a major company who provides more than a 10th of the World's job market. I know the number is MUCH larger than this but I'm sure you get the point. That being that it would be bad business not to protect yourself and your employees. It's funny to hear people whine about oil companies. Take out the pump tax and then see if big oil is as big as you think it is. Every state in the Union has a pump tax for not only sales, but road and the sneaky sneaky riders that get passed every year. Take those away and most states would be paying less than a buck a gallon. That is a fact.

The author is correct. The costs associated with going green far outweigh the complete application of it. 

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DJSPIN80

All electric vehicles are cheaper?  Look at the Chevy Volt and ask yourself if that's "cheap".  You can buy the cheapest Kia and it will get you 30+ mpg.  The Volt can travel a mere 35 miles before the gas engine picks up.  You could go for a Tesla Roadster and pay well over $100K - their model S retails for probably twice that.  Sure, electric cars are cheaper...sure.  (hint: flaw in logic).

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Ceadderman

Don't forget the time taken to charge full Electric systems and the costs associated with that. Then take both and factor those into the average one way mileage per day and see if Electric is cost effective. If you're just out for a 5 minute jaunt to the local pub then it is(you'd spend more for a Pint than the roundtrip) but if you live in the boonies like most people do... ;)

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Jims45wow

Re: Item 2: Really? Range? Vehicle power? Supply power? Battery life? Battery manufacture? Battery waste? Battery weight? Batter hazards (bump a multi dry cell box really hard for a light show--not to mention the toxic and corrosive cr4p when a cell ruptures) And--Back to supply power: Not only is 70 % of power production in the US created by fossil fuels, but the transmission system is nowhere near able to handle the load, nor enough plants for the output. It's a nice thought, but short of a Mr. Fusion...

Methane, sure is possible for some of the traffic. Hydrogen, need lots of nuke plants, possible. Some new, funky chemical combustion, most likely. But, none of it will be cheap. Maybe, never again. :(

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scoop6274

Frankly, I agree with this with the way things are going. However I will be severly dissapointed if the only music I will be able to purchase is overly compressed crappily recorded mp3's. I have yet to purchase any music in downloaded form. I prefer my music on a disc. Plus I get the liner notes and artwork. As far as games and movies are concerned, downloadable media is fine. For games, it is data. It isn't like compression is going destroy the playability of the game. Movies I don't want to own most of them. Very few of them are worth keeping in my personal library. I used to regularly rent movies so not having them on hand is okay, plus its not like they're going to put the entire script in the liner notes.

Please oh please, leave my physical media music alone!

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daveny5

I've ripped all of my CDs to a 1TB hard drive and its so much quicker and easier to use. If you rip them to FLACs instead of MP3s they sound exactly like the original. The best part is with them on my computer I can play them on my network connected DVD player downstairs or on my Wii in the bedroom or on any other room in my house with a computer. 

I use Media Monkey as my librarian and I can find any song or CD in a moment or I can have it randomize songs by artist or genre, or I can put it in DJ mode and it will play anything at random. 

 

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raptorspike

I don't agree with the doomed technologies. Physical Media and handheld gaming consoles won't go away until the internet connections (cellular and wired) get a lot faster and widespread. I doubt that hard drives are going away any time soon. Ebook readers are a lot easier to read and nicer on your eyes. I will concede on Stereoscopic 3D without glasses. But Keys? really? Until I can go and buy a e-lock for my door at the same price +- 10% of a conventional lock, I'll pass.

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og_greek

A lot of people below are not reading the article correctly.

 

PC's and peripherals are going to SURVIVE!

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joeking

Great article, I agree 100%

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DOAcepr

Clouds are white & fluffy, seriously, what bad could happen when you trust your data to corporations and governments?  It’s not like either entity have egregiously violated public trust in recent memory.  (Note the hint of sarcasm.)

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bronson265

I'd prefer that the word "corporation" be used instead of "cloud" so that people would better understand the implications of saving everything there. "Corporation" based computing is fine for piddly flash game scores or even the list of contacts in my email account, but do I want to store all of my data with the "corporation"? Absolutely not.

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Ceadderman

I don't even like to keep a list of contacts online because they can easily be spammed, or some doooooosh could hack my accounts and then spam them from my own email system. 

I had a Trojan get into my email account a year or so back and it proceeded to clone me and spam everyone in my contacts list. I finally got the bugger but not before it cheesed off everyone I know.

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Baer

I just had to make an additional comment on Pay per View. We stoped using it when they limited being able to record it and view it later if after 24 hours. In fact our Direct TV value is becomming questionable. Yes there are hundreds of channels but almost half of them and now PPV, a bunch are in Spanish, the HBO type channels are all playing the same years old movies and the big networks.... Meh for the most part with ads every 5 minutes. Even if we are going to watch a big netwok show we start recording it ahead so we can skip all those hundreds of ads. They are fixing us however with those so annoying pop up ads on the bottom of the screen and of course there are those oversized logo's. Enough already. No wonder we watch less and less.

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daveny5

As much as I like my Dish Network TV, I don't see a long future for it. With broadband cable or FIOS, NetFlix and all of the internet TV services on the rise (Hulu, Boxee, etc.) who needs a one-way satellite service? Why would I pay $5.99 to watch a movie on PPV when I can pay $11 a month to NetFlix and watch as many movies as I want? 

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LuckyArmpit

Hehe....the cloud!!!  This was tried once before and it didn't work then and it aint gonna work now.

Why would you do all your stuff and save your stuff in a central location along with thousands of other fools???  Something thats vulnerable to the hacking community.  No...I'll keep my apps and my data where I know its safe and sound...OFFLINE on my own data hardware!!!  And who is the "gatekeeper" of the cloud????  Nope..this is like having a shareable tool chest at work that all shifts have access to.  Anytime you need something, its gone and not put back or someone stole it.

 

Lucky...

 

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violian

Keys??? Are you kidding me? Keys are everywhere: cabinets, lockers, file-draweres, bedroom keys, apartment keys, cars, safes.

And the cloud is a long ways away before it impacts hard-drive and SSD storage mediums. What if you're in an area that doesn't have wi-fi and you need that document? I have tech-savvy friends, and none of them stores their stuff online. They have NAS set-ups that allows all their computers in their house to access all their goodies. Why would you store your 10,000 music collection in some facility 5,000 miles away?

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popstop785

No, keys are fading. Cars are using remote entry and start. My old 06 Vette didn't even need a key as it had the clicker that only had to be inside the car in order for it to start (push button). The only key I use each day is for my vehicle... everything else is keypad or remote entry.

And everything you stated that needs a key is pretty much absolete tech. A file cabinet in todays world is a digital one, no key needed as it is most likely on a server or a local hard drive. Any house and door can get a keyless entry installed for <$50. Lockers are generally key combination based... say you go to the gym and use the locker, you won't want to cary a key around when you can just use a combo lock.

Keys are becoming primitive and less efficiant. I can change the code to my front door as many times as I want within mins... sure beats calling a locksmith or buying a new lock and set of keys. New locks mean new keys... new key codes just mean you need to make a little more room in your brain.

 

If you REALLY think about it, you know the article is right... you just don't want to let go of the idea of using a key. Sorry, bro.

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tframpton

Pre-recorded CD's are definitely on their way out. Whoever said otherwise doesn't have a clue.

Why would a company spend the $$$$ for the duplication costs, physical media, the cases, the booklets, the shipment costs, the marketing costs at the stores, etc etc when you can upload a single file/album to an online store (ie. iTunes) and sell the song/album for as much as it would cost a retail store to sell as?

People own media players now. Not 100-disc CD changers, or Sony Walkman portable CD players. Nerds I tell ya, neeeeerrrddss!!! :-)

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bling581

I'm surprised you mention keys. I don't know what it's like where you live but around here you rarely see anything but keyed locks.  I'm sure electronic locks have downsides as well.  Anything electronic is proned to possible problems or failures.

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Doldarius

I'm sorry but CD's, book-readers, and keys aren't going anywhere.

We are more connected, but there are still millions who don't have internet and there are people who don't want internet.  These people still like listening to music and watching movies, they just don't want the hassle of a computer.  Living in CA I'm sure you're quite disconnected with every rural part of America but I work with a lot of rural PD's here in kentucky and trust me; there is no shortage of broke, crazy, drugged out, or people who just don't want computers.

I honestly never saw the point of book readers till my boss told me he bought one for his wife.  Sure she can read em on the computer and she does, but the ability to turn it on and be reading a book quicky is better than waiting for a slow laptop.  Even standby mode would take 20 seconds to start reading a book.  My boss also talks about the ease of portability.  You don't want to take a big laptop with you to the doctors office waiting room or something like that.  The you have the issues of laptop heat that burns your legs from overuse and the e-reader market looks better and better.  For the book addict, like my boss's wife, nothing is better than 1 small fast portable book that has every book you ever want to read.

And keys are obvious.  Where's the money going to come from to replace all these locks?  There are places that have 20 and 30 year old locks on their doors.  Key's won't even dissapear from small business.  We have electronic locks on our doors but we still lock our deadbolt, with a key, at night.  There are landlords who are too cheap to change locks like they are supposed to.  There are 10 old tenants who could possibly have your key.  You have to remeber, half of our country isn't wealthy and will not choose to spend $50 on an e-lock when a $10 lock and key does fine.

 

The others, I will gladly play taps for, however, mobile gaming will not die...they are being replaced by cell phones.  The iphone is a nice gaming platform and some companies are desining phones for the pupose of mobile gaming, like the sony GO. 

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Free_Wheely

I don't think anyone would ever consider that tablets would replace real books or magazines and I think that the E Ink technology that e-books utilise, swing them over to the side of being another format for reading as opposed to another feature a tablet can provide. Tablets do not provide the platform for serious readers. You use the analogy of the Swiss Army knife but lets be honest who really uses that instead of a screwdriver or scissors or to open wine bottles, a dedicated tool for a dedicated job cannot be beat.

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Pablo-man

I'm just going to comment by the list numbers.

#1: Physical media has only survived this long because of setbacks in other areas. Not everyone has access to an internet connection that can download media in a timely fashion. I recently downloaded Bioshock 2 and it took me ten hours. Also, media such as CDs have the advantage of being able to be portable and transferable. There is no good way of loaning a movie to friend if you only have a digital copy. 

#2: 3D TV, especially with the glasses, never had a chance. I haven't seen a movie in 3D that the 3D added anything, and the cost and hassle of the glasses make it something most people don't use.

#3: This one I'm not as sure about. I could see them developing along the same lines as iPods. The Kindle is more portable than the iPad and the screen is easier to read off. However, folding them into tablets makes a quite a bit of sense as well.

#4: I personally would keep them around as backup, unless SSDs replace them.

#5: Thank God, I wish this would happen today.

#6: Gord nailed it. Nothing to add.

I also have nothing to add about the other list, except to say that even with a new fuel source, most "alternative" new engines are still internal combustion engines and the home phone line will be dead in ten years. Businesses may keep it, but it will disappear from the consumer market.

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Markitzero

Keep in mind with my comment is that I am doing the view from someone that lives in a rural area were alot of people can only get Dial-up or satellite internet and there are people that are not with in range of a 3G Cell tower. Also the 3G as of right now that I go off of is Virgin Mobile Broadband2go has been lately going -20KB/s. There is no WiMAX or 4G.

Pre-recorded Physical Media:

For alot of areas if CDs, DVDs, etc stopped being made would leave them in the dust for the areas that don't have good access broadband or no broadband for Streaming like through Hulu or NetFlix. Like for me I can barely do youtube on 280p to 380p as of right now but when 4G get were I am that would improve but Wireless Internet technology can be iffy with tower congestion or weather. Like with Video games like through steam or on the playstation Store or other means  it would be hard for the Gamers that live in a Rural area that may not have the broadband speeds like the big citys with like Fiber to the house.

Consumer-Level Hard Drives:

I hope not because as in the way of flash memory those are good for mainly good for boot drives but not for busy R/W enviroments .

Keys:

That hunk of metal I think may not die easy. locks with Keypads can basicly be hacked like with the RFID technology and others.

Landline telephone:

There are still people with a landline Phone and not Cell phone. There are some rural areas that can't get Cell Phone signal at all. So landline phone for alot of people is the only choice for the home phone.

Internal Combustion Automobile Engine:

There are some Car people that may keep there car with the engine because thing the engine can if needed can run off of other stuff like propane or like with the diesals can run from vegatable oil, corn oil and others.

The PC, The Computer Keyboard, & The Computer Mouse:
I Highly doupt it ya some technology out there like Cloud computing and touch screens but for some people yes they can do it but there is alot of people that can't use those will remain with the use of the keyboard and mouse.

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Doldarius

um did you read the article?

It said landlines, autmobiles, and pc's will live!

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ThomFrost

Keys? Ok I don't know what you have been smoking but you need to share. I can see keys for some things being replaced but not for everything.

Hard drives ? Maybe platter driven drives that will be replaced by SSD but to many people need local storage. Until everyone can get broadband internet anywheres and every where some sort of local storage will be needed. And if ISP's get their way and put data caps we will see web storage and cloud based computing dead in the water. I could see with cloud based computing people having gig's of data being transfered weekly if not daily, and getting hundreds of dollar cable bills.

CD's are being replaced by MP3's but some still want the physical media. Until everything has storage like the radios in our cars, we will still see CD's.

E-book readers? I don't see it. I see them getting cheaper and having color and touch screens. I can see them morphing in to something that has multiple uses aka iPad and tablet systems.

Handheld gaming? Sony is planning on anouncing a phone with a PSP built in to it. Might see multi-purpose units that do more then just play games. The iPhone has a great game out that has made a splash, and I can only see games getting better for the iOS and Android.

Computers: I can see one day when everyone has broadband even in the middle of no wheres then we might have computer termals. As far as keyboards go, I don't see it. It is hard to touch type on a touch screen and voice recognition in a noisy room that would not work. Mice I can see touch screens replacing these.

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JohnP

Sorry, in the near term all these will still be around. For the nerdy, maybe not, but the "real" world, no way.

 Keys? Not even I  would put in expensive battery operated keypads in my house, nor would they work in my sliding glass door for instance. Yeah, OK for work, but I bet your drawers in your desk lock with a key...

The PC is dying/dead/ obsolete. Nope. At the minimum to do REAL work, it is really nice to have a large screen and full sized keyboard. No iPads work that well...

The e-book reader/standalone GPS have been put down becuase they work so damn well. WHY? They do what they are supposed to do and that's it. TV is the same, why isn't it on the list?

Living on the cloud? Don't think so. How many folks are still dialing in?

Car/truck/bus/train IC engines?  gimme a break...

20-30 years from now, yes, things will change but not now, not today, and definitely not next year.

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LloydFayt

I wish there were references to back any of this up. Most studies state the opposite opinion on most of these.. Landlines are dying, as are combustion engnes, while the DS has I believe the best sales of any console? The one that bugs me most is the mp3 player living. I would think it to be one of the first things to be kicked to the curb. The keys comment just made me giggle, to replace that entirely would take just forever and make a great amount of the public uneasy.

Next time give some references instead of basing it all on your own opinions.

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Doldarius

Landlines are only dying amongst the poor who don't want to pay for it and their necessary cell phone.

 

Your right landlines are becoming obsolete, but they won't go anywhere, rich people like them, and a lot of home security systems use them.  Every person I know who has money, has a landline, and none of the broke people do.  Fact is when you have a family and children, most parents won't care to spend the money to make sure they can protect their important family.

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Brian Dowding

How can someone be expected to provide references to an opinon or belief?  I could believe that it is a good idea to eat soup outside in the rain, though the possibility exists that I may never finish.  I certainly couldn't provide references for either circumstances probability.  I don't suspect any made such a request of Nostradamus or any Amusement Park fortune-teller.

To be fair to you, I understand your logic - that you would like to see study's or market trends substantiating the opinion.

To be fair to MaximumPC, they are veteran's of their feild and are a valid source free to make a valid opinion based on their experience.  Also, they stated in the opening of the article that this was predictions based on their own personal opinions.  Everyone is entitled to one.  Religion would be in trouble if opinions required substantiation.

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Biceps

Could I see some references for your lack of references please?  I need to reference them.

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nealtse

I noticed that the same logic you used to justify keeping the Mp3 player could apply to the e-reader as well.  What it's intended for, cannot be done as well by any other technology.

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Lhot

.....how are you going to back up your...CLOUD data....in the CLOUD?

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Baer

1. Desktop P C's. I have one of the latest and greatest i7 combo notebook /pads but as fast as it is it is in a different universe from my OCed 8 core (with HT) 12 GB Ram SSD and RAID SLI, three monitor rig. Anythingh that takes more than a few seconds to load or do makes me feel second class. Yes, I will always have a good portable device but my teal work and gaming is done on a P C and not that ugly old looking POS that is shown in this article.

2. eBook readers. As I said, I have a good tablet and I have access to others but for reading, real, sitting down and reading a book there is nothing like our e paper Kindle. No glare, no backlight pouring into your eyes. Sometimes you need a precision tool instead of a combo wrench/screwdriver/tackhammer.

One more comment, no way am I going to trust my business to the cloud, no way am I going to be shut down totally if there is a lost connection. The iPad kiddies may love the cloud but those that think it will take over are drinking the koolaid.

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btdog

I didn't notice it at first, but the second half of the list are items that WILL survive; so you agree with their stance on the PC - it will make it.

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Lhot

....wait till SSD's are a round for about 20years.and then maybe IF they hold up as well as HDDs do....maybe.

Keys...no way...the only thing better than keys is an iron bar on your door.  You start making all secuirty electronic and one solar flare gonna really ruin your day.

...and the CLOUD is a huge mistake....if relied on soley....you think NORAD and General Berringer gonna trust the CLOUD?   LMAO

You guys are starting to get a serious case of CES-itis  :)  Sure, smartphones and laptops are going to succeed...but desktops aren't going anywhere...the ONLY thing that will kill the desktop is a seachange in storage quantity...when you start seeing 2TB SSD's smaller than a pack of cigarettes...maybe then.

...the CLOUD is a sorry and foolish substitute....sure a lotta people will buy into it at first...then when it fails them...or when they wise up...we'll be right back to personal computers. 

100 years from now...sure....but that will be after a few failed attempts and a much better security system than we can even imagine now.  If MS continues on their track towards a CLOUD based Windows 8...they gonna be in for some serious financial woes.

Everytime we try to put all ours eggs in one basket....we regret it, and this will be no different.

However, whoever does perfect speech recognition first is going to be the next mega company....keyboards are about the dumbest thing I've ever seen.

 

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tony2tonez

I could see handheld console gaming fall by the waistside. I own a PSP and havent played it in months. It was great beacause i traveled alot. So i got alot of use out of it. But at home i dont play it. The tough part is psp developers making games on tablets because of the controls. The tablet games and other offer limited controlability. Plus they are mostly simple and dont offer much content, but they are addictive to some people.

I still like the tower pc, mouse and KB. I dont like using a laptop all the time. plus i like the gaming option. It offers a different feel. I think the combo will be around for sometime but i see they are shrinking in size and the only ones who like the tower, mouse, kb are gamers and power users. so it will have a niche but a small one.

I agree with one of the other posters, i am not about to upload my docs to a cloud, because it can be easily stolen or harmed. I still like the CDR or DVDR as a backup to my backup HDD. I dont even have a facebook, i try to limit my internet personal information.

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tony2tonez

I could see handheld console gaming fall by the waistside. I own a PSP and havent played it in months. It was great beacause i traveled alot. So i got alot of use out of it. But at home i dont play it. The tough part is psp developers making games on tablets because of the controls. The tablet games and other offer limited controlability. Plus they are mostly simple and dont offer much content, but they are addictive to some people.

I still like the tower pc, mouse and KB. I dont like using a laptop all the time. plus i like the gaming option. It offers a different feel. I think the combo will be around for sometime but i see they are shrinking in size and the only ones who like the tower, mouse, kb are gamers and power users. so it will have a niche but a small one.

I agree with one of the other posters, i am not about to upload my docs to a cloud, because it can be easily stolen or harmed. I still like the CDR or DVDR as a backup to my backup HDD. I dont even have a facebook, i try to limit my internet personal information.

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ShyLinuxGuy

Desktop PCs will never be obsolete as an idea, because although Consumer America is enjoying their iPads and TouchSmarts, Corporate America's tower/desktop PCs will still be chugging away. Desktop PCs--yes--they are becoming kind of obsolete in the home, but in the business, they are ESSENTIAL!

Oh, and by the way, I won't use an SSD until it matures a little. If a flash drive barely lasts me a year because of the flash memory wearing out, then I don't think I'll trust a circuit board full of them shrouded in a sealed aluminum case (to get overly hot) over a cheap, functional and reliable mechanical hard drive. I have an old Dell that I use as a file server; it's about 11 years old and has the *original* HDD which contains the OS (but of course, I have 2- 160GB SATA drives on a RAID card for storage purposes). It's on 24x7 and has been for for quite some time (until it gets unplugged by accident or a windstorm knocks out the power). That's just one example of how trustworthy a mechanical disk drive can be if properly cared for and there are many other examples I can come up with regarding the solid reliability and maturity of mechanical hard drive: I'm part of my school's tech team as an elective, and I noticed a few 486-era PCs (beige, Baby AT form factor) under the rackmount servers (probably firewalls or maybe a router cluster?); they probably have their original hard drives, and they are on 24x7.

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jgrimoldy

Keys?  Really?  Is that the best you can do?  I beg to differ.  In terms of security, keys will be around for a good long time.  They're cheap, low tech, and almost indestructable.  Besides, keys are pretty far outside the scope Maximum PC's purview.  This ain't Popular Mechanics, Gord. 

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logicmaster2003

I strong disagree with HDD getting nailed into coffin by CLOUD !

 

HDD = you have total control and have it (physically)

CLOUD = who knows where your data will leak into.

 

And the new Google cloud os hype is nothing to me but a piece of garbage. No freedom of choice  on the program you want to install and run. You're.. LIMITED

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cpuking2010

heard of the SSD. that'll kill that HDD.

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